- The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Astros
- Braves vs Astros Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Braves / Astros TV Channel: BSSE | SCHN | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-105) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Braves are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 5-11 ATS.
Braves vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Darius Vines 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 0-1, 21.02 ERA
Braves vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -105 | -115 |
| Astros | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -115 | -105 |
Braves vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Braves Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Astros Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 5-8 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -23.15% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -4.91% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 39.37% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -48.07% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 5-11 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -26.73% ROI).
- 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -43.96% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 1.71% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Darius Vines has limited playing time.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has limited playing time.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Braves are 48-43 (.527) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 34-49 (.410) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Braves were 30-46 (.395) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Astros are 96-24 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 62-42 (.596) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 41-23 (.641) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .801 (9,625 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .393 (801 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 678 strikeouts in 3,837 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 357 strikeouts in 1,987 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 56% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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