- The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Astros
- Braves vs Astros Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Braves / Astros TV Channel: TBS | BSSE | SCHN
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-105) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Braves are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 6-12 ATS.
Braves vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 1-0, 0.77 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 0-2, 16.45 ERA
Braves vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -115 | -115 |
| Astros | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -105 | -105 |
Braves vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Fried has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 73% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -6.84% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 2.41% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 33.94% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -42.12% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 6-12 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -21.99% ROI).
- 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -39.82% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI
Astros vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Astros vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Astros vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — second Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 27 of 153 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — first Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has allowed a BABIP of .583 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (23-for-46) against Hunter Brown this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .571 (12-for-21) against Hunter Brown’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .566 (53 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .318 — 0 Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Braves were 30-46 (.395) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Braves are 171-35 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Astros are 116-84 (.580) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Astros were 27-19 (.587) after a road win in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 41-23 (.641) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .601 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Braves hitters are slugging .705 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .841 (5,218 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 678 strikeouts in 3,844 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Astros are batting .184 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 7.47 (59.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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