- The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Braves vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Braves / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | FDSO | FDSE
The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+120) on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Braves are 5-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 14-4 ATS.
Braves vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 1-0, 0.98 ERA
Braves vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | O 7 +105 | -145 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | U 7 -125 | +120 |
Braves vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.00 Units / 340% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.35 Units / 92% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+20.50 Units / 228% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Will Wagner has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+8.25 Units / 82% ROI)
- Will Wagner has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 107% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 101 of their last 166 games (+37.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 157 games (+14.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games at home (+14.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 7-10 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -18.41% ROI).
- 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -45.47% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 1.86% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -9.68% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 14-4 against the Run Line (+10.2 Units / 37.78% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 13.63% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -24.23% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 16.34% ROI
Blue Jays vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider (ATL) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (635/1,644) against Spencer Strider in 2023 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (140/317) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 42% (332/783) against Spencer Strider in 2023 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (665/1,735) against Spencer Strider since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .053 against Chris Bassitt with RISP this season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile. Opponents batted .282 (46-for-163) against him with RISP last season — 10th worst among qualified SPs– 17th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season (197 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 80.7
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of just .053 (19 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has not walked any of the 27 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Braves are 117-80 (.594) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Braves were 35-31 (.530) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
The Braves were 24-16 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Phillies (12th best runs allowed) today.
The Braves are 66-52 (.559) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays were just 27-44 (.380) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays are just 20-80 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .476 against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters slugged .509 at home in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters slugged .751 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .176 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .403 (179 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .863 (179 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .676.
Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .050 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.55 (81.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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