- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Brewers
- Braves vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Braves / Brewers TV Channel: FDSO | FDSE | FDWI
The Atlanta Braves (-170) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+140) on Monday, June 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Braves are 27-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 32-32 ATS.
Braves vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 3-4, 2.95 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 1-1, 5.20 ERA
Braves vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -110 | -170 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -110 | +140 |
Braves vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+12.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.02 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+0.31 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+15.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 62 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games (+8.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 33% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 26-37 against the Run Line (-10.72 Units / -14.41% ROI).
- 27-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.93 Units / -26.23% ROI
- 24-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -20.35% ROI
- 35-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 12.25% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 32-32 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -6.45% ROI).
- 35-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 3.4% ROI
- 24-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.4 Units / -26.47% ROI
- 39-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.75 Units / 17.71% ROI
Brewers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -110 |
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
18 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
50 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
32 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale had a strikeout rate of 32% (225/702) in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since the 2023 season is 384.1 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Aaron Civale struck out just 18% (63/356) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Aaron Civale had a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (fifth lowest)– eighth Percentile and 73% when behind in the count last season (fifth highest among qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Aaron Civale allowed an OPS of .776 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 12th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Braves are just 18-7 (.720) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Braves are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Braves are just 10-61 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .194.
The Braves are just 18-5 (.783) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Brewers were 30-12 (.714) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Brewers are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Brewers are 174-14 (.926) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Brewers are just 4-150 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .378 against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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