- The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Braves vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FDSO | FDSE | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Friday, April 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Braves are 10-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 13-12 ATS.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 0-2, 6.18 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-3, 5.54 ERA
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -120 | -135 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 +100 | +110 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.40 Units / 138% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 18 games (+1.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+2.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 10-14 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -14.49% ROI).
- 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -23.46% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -7.82% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-12 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 6.54% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.15% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 3.86% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -12.77% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
38 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
32 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 32% (99 SO in 306 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Chris Sale allowed a slugging percentage of just .272 (65 Total Bases / 239 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has walked 18% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 58% (275/472) this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of .422 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — fifth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 58% (144/249) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Braves are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .878.
The Braves are 4-8 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .122.
The Braves are 28-106 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Braves are 68-55 (.553) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Diamondbacks are 3-9 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Diamondbacks are 22-126 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks are 10-134 (.069) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Diamondbacks are 79-17 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 14% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of 1.335 (176 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.049.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH in the 2024 season (4,288 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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