- The Braves are +100 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Braves vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Braves / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FDSO | FDSE
The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Saturday, April 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Braves are 11-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 13-13 ATS.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 2-1, 3.23 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 3-1, 4.73 ERA
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | O 9.5 -120 | +100 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | U 9.5 +100 | -120 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 66% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.25 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Tawa has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+23.00 Units / 288% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tim Tawa has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.45 Units / 116% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 11-14 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -9.61% ROI).
- 11-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -19.77% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 3.6% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -11.38% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-13 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.44% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -2.77% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 7.23% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -15.94% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .706 (12 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .091 (2-for-22) against Grant Holmes in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.
Grant Holmes had a strike rate of just 55% (58/105) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Grant Holmes walked 15 of 282 batters (5%) in the 2024 season — 9th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 90th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .133 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .093 (4-for-43) against Merrill Kelly when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .111 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OPS of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .627 — 98th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Braves are 4-8 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Braves are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Braves are 69-55 (.556) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
The Braves are 121-81 (.599) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Diamondbacks are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Diamondbacks are 22-127 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks are 16-61 (.205) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Diamondbacks are 145-35 (.801) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 14% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .348 (3,580 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .346 (1,983 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers walked 85 of 1,447 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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