- The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Braves vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FDSO | FDSE | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Sunday, April 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Braves are 12-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 13-14 ATS.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 1-1, 2.56 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 4-1, 2.80 ERA
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -180 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+15.70 Units / 392% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Tawa has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+22.00 Units / 244% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tim Tawa has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 94% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+2.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 26 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 12-14 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -5.86% ROI).
- 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -16.48% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 6.92% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -14.81% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-14 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.7% ROI).
- 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -6.06% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 10.36% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -19.03% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 60% (32/53) against Spencer Schwellenbach on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (89/123) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 96th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 69% (309/448) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has walked 4% of left-handed batters this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 84th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .067 against Brandon Pfaadt with RISP this season — tied for second best among qualified SPs– 98th Percentile. Opponents batted .300 (45-for-150) against him with RISP last season — fourth worst among qualified SPs– seventh Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt had a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (538/758) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt walked 13 of 282 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Brandon Pfaadt’s pitches (548/983) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — fifth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Braves are 5-8 (.385) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Braves are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Braves are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Braves are 29-106 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Diamondbacks are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Diamondbacks are just 8-3 (.727) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Diamondbacks are 22-127 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Diamondbacks are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 14% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .347 (3,658 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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