- The Braves are -185 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Braves vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BSSO | DBTV | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-185) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+150) on Monday, July 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Braves are 49-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 44-46 ATS.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 11-3, 2.72 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Yilber Diaz 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | -185 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | +150 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 74 games (+28.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 38 away games (+12.94 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 90 games (+6.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 41-47 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -5.81% ROI).
- 49-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.2 Units / -8.77% ROI
- 30-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.6 Units / -29.81% ROI
- 54-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.95 Units / 21.43% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 44-46 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -6.8% ROI).
- 45-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -3.11% ROI
- 47-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.65% ROI
- 41-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -10.24% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
19 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .155 (34-for-220) against Chris Sale’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .199 (72-for-362) against Chris Sale this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 93rd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Braves are 5-3 (.625) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Braves are 34-67 (.337) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Braves are 29-48 (.377) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Braves are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Diamondbacks are just 8-16 (.333) after a home win this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-36 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 108-9 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OBP of .379 (1,157 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (2,375 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Braves hitters are slugging .468 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .462 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 67% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .437 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,054 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (2,050 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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