- The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Braves vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSSO | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Braves are 20-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 16-17 ATS.
Braves vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 2-0, 3.77 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 2-1, 4.68 ERA
Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -200 | O 9.5 -115 | +100 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -105 | -120 |
Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.20 Units / 127% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 52% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 76 of their last 134 games (+19.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 14-15 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -2.58% ROI).
- 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 8.55% ROI
- 11-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -20.03% ROI
- 16-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 12.27% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 16-17 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -8.26% ROI).
- 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -7.58% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 7.51% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -16.05% ROI
Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have no hits on elevated fastballs in 15 AB’s against Charlie Morton this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (130/288) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (298/826) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 59 of 590 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (11/45) against Gavin Stone against right-handed batters this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 97th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has allowed an OBP of .460 (50 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .313 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (16/40) against Gavin Stone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (4/22) against Gavin Stone with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 34-51 (.400) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Braves are 29-34 (.460) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Braves are 49-44 (.527) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 207-34 (.859) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 46-16 (.742) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 87-39 (.690) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Dodgers are 231-126 (.647) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .508 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters are slugging .590 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .855 (1,744 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Braves hitters are slugging .469 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .353 (829 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,315 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 24 double plays in 410 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.3 MPH (665 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Braves pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.3 MPH this season (665 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Dodgers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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