- The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Braves
- Braves vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSSO | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Saturday, May 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Braves are 20-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 16-18 ATS.
Braves vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 1-0, 1.54 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 5-1, 2.72 ERA
Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -120 | +145 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | U 9 +100 | -175 |
Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+14.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 87% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+18.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 15-15 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.43% ROI).
- 20-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 6.4% ROI
- 11-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -22.71% ROI
- 17-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 14.86% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 16-18 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -10.6% ROI).
- 21-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -5.86% ROI
- 18-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 4.32% ROI
- 15-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -12.95% ROI
Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (57/414) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Bryce Elder has struck out just 6% (2/33) of left-handed batters he faced — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (147/723) against Bryce Elder since the 2022 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .080 (7-for-88) against Tyler Glasnow with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 61% (22 SO in 36 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .161 (62 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .306 — 97th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 56% (53 SO in 94 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Braves are 34-51 (.400) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Braves are 17-55 (.236) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 49-44 (.527) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 46-16 (.742) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 208-34 (.860) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 232-126 (.648) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 120-60 (.667) at home since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .468 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Braves hitters are slugging .489 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .483 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .466 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (9,900 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (9,900 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .353 (864 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .364 (669 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.3 MPH (665 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.3 MPH this season (665 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Dodgers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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