- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Mariners
- Braves vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Braves / Mariners TV Channel: BSSO | RTNW
The Atlanta Braves (-175) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+145) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Braves are 19-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 15-15 ATS.
Braves vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 3-1, 3.74 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 3-2, 5.13 ERA
Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -125 | -175 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 +105 | +145 |
Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.55 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+9.70 Units / 162% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 13-15 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -5.81% ROI).
- 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 6.95% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -17.43% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 9.53% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 15-15 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -1.9% ROI).
- 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 1.24% ROI
- 6-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -57.05% ROI
- 22-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.3 Units / 47.89% ROI
Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mariners vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
5 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.9 MPH (80 batted balls) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 97th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strike rate of 71% (330/465) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 44% (103/233) against Chris Sale with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emerson Hancock has not walked any of the 51 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (15/87) against Emerson Hancock over the last 14 days — 4th lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has allowed an OPS of just .200 (20 PA’s) vs left-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .654 — 98th Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (30 Total Bases / 48 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .389 — third Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Braves are 34-51 (.400) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .215.
The Braves are 49-44 (.527) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 17-54 (.239) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mariners are 153-6 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Mariners are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Mariners are 15-13 (.536) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Mariners are 91-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .586 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Braves hitters are slugging .491 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .856 (1,741 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Braves hitters are slugging .467 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 246 strikeouts in 826 PA’s (30%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .177 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Mariners are batting just .130 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.3 MPH (640 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Braves pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.3 MPH this season (640 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Braves pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 937 of 13,061 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 12 of 269 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 490 of 7,075 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 109 of 1,724 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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