- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Braves vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Braves / Mets TV Channel: BSSE | SNY
The Atlanta Braves (-150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+125) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Braves are 22-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 18-18 ATS.
Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 2-0, 3.67 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-3, 5.16 ERA
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -110 | -150 |
| Mets | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -110 | +125 |
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+18.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+12.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games at home (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+10.10 Units / 92% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+9.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 32% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 17-17 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.13% ROI).
- 22-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 4.92% ROI
- 12-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -25.88% ROI
- 20-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.9 Units / 18.25% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 18-18 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 1.66% ROI).
- 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.38% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -5.02% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -3.92% ROI
Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 35 of 315 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (158/344) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 37 of 320 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (239/555) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 10% (6 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 31% (25 SO in 80 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (105/183) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (313/529) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Braves are 29-35 (.453) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 49-46 (.516) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mets are just 3-84 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are just 7-135 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Mets are just 18-31 (.367) after a road loss since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Mets are 154-16 (.906) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .465 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters are slugging .586 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .821 (5,772 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Braves hitters are slugging .699 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 52 strikeouts in 295 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets have been successful on 62% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .827 (263 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.050.
The Mets are batting .249 with two outs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.6 MPH (795 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.6 MPH this season (795 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 161 of 1,390 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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