- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Braves vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | BSSE
The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+130) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Braves are 34-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 36-25 ATS.
Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 3-2, 1.74 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 4-3, 3.65 ERA
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 +100 | -155 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -120 | +130 |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+19.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+16.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+15.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+13.20 Units / 132% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games (+19.90 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games (+20.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.39 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 28 away games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 53 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 55 games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 53 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 29-30 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.48% ROI).
- 34-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -6.32% ROI
- 21-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.05 Units / -28.05% ROI
- 36-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.9 Units / 19.68% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 36-25 against the Run Line (+7.83 Units / 9.93% ROI).
- 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 9.43% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -11.64% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.18 Units / 3.22% ROI
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 409 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .198 (16-for-81) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .272 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .106 (28-for-264) against Reynaldo Lopez with two-strikes since last season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — 90th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .331 (293 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .474 — 93rd Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Mitchell Parker when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .253 — 96th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has walked 2 of 81 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (42/157) when he’s behind in the count this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 61% (81/132) against Mitchell Parker on low breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Braves are 17-67 (.202) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Braves are 34-61 (.358) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 49-50 (.495) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Nationals are just 146-201 (.421) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 47-194 (.195) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are just 16-28 (.364) after a home win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .804 (6,448 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .379 (1,028 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters are slugging .688 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Braves are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Nationals hitters have just 879 strikeouts in 4,462 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .695 (4,462 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (1,402 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (1,402 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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