- The Braves are -210 favorites vs the Nationals
- Braves vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | BSSE
The Atlanta Braves (-210) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+170) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Braves are 35-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 36-26 ATS.
Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 8-1, 3.08 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 3-5, 3.41 ERA
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -120 | O 7.5 +100 | -210 |
| Nationals | +1.5 +100 | U 7.5 -120 | +170 |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+20.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+16.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games (+19.90 Units / 83% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+14.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 46 games (+21.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.39 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 29 away games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 away games (+1.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 54 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 56 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 54 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-30 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI).
- 35-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -5.3% ROI
- 21-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.25 Units / -29.37% ROI
- 37-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.9 Units / 20.89% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 36-26 against the Run Line (+6.58 Units / 8.21% ROI).
- 27-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 7.69% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -13.2% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.18 Units / 4.63% ROI
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 5.5 -190 | 5.5 +145 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
13 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has walked 2 of 99 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (25-for-50) against Chris Sale on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .271 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (169/465) against Chris Sale this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has walked 12 of 275 batters (4%) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (73/215) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (251/741) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (103/274) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Braves are 17-67 (.202) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Braves are 34-61 (.358) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Braves are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Nationals are just 24-45 (.348) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 47-195 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are just 70-119 (.370) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .491 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .689 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Braves hitters are slugging .470 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .805 (6,458 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have 682 extra-base hits out of 2,208 total hits (just 31%) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (1,425 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (1,425 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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