- The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
- Braves vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | BSSE
The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Braves are 35-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 37-26 ATS.
Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 3-2, 3.99 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 4-5, 3.56 ERA
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -120 | -135 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 +100 | +115 |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+21.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+17.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games (+19.90 Units / 83% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+14.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 78% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 47 games (+22.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 away games (+10.39 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 30 away games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 55 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 55 games (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-31 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -1.72% ROI).
- 35-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -7.07% ROI
- 21-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.35 Units / -30.53% ROI
- 38-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.9 Units / 22.03% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 37-26 against the Run Line (+7.63 Units / 9.41% ROI).
- 28-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 10.3% ROI
- 26-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -14.59% ROI
- 33-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.18 Units / 6% ROI
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 13 of 99 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 42 of 360 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (261/603) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 56% of the time (176/316) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 37% (50/134) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (58/172) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (49/143) against MacKenzie Gore on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (43/134) against MacKenzie Gore this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Braves are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 17-68 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Braves are 48-22 (.686) after a home loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are just 24-45 (.348) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Nationals are just 71-119 (.374) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 47-72 (.395) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .491 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .469 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .810 (8,536 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Braves hitters are slugging .459 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .915 (1,559 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .355 (1,985 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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