- The Braves are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Braves vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Braves / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | BSSE
The Atlanta Braves (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+140) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Braves are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 38-26 ATS.
Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Hurston Waldrep 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 0-1, 9.01 ERA
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | O 9.5 -115 | -165 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -115 | U 9.5 -105 | +140 |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+19.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+19.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+16.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+16.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games (+18.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+14.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+12.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.65 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 48 games (+21.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 away games (+11.39 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 31 away games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 56 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 56 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-32 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -3.11% ROI).
- 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -8.16% ROI
- 22-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -28.56% ROI
- 38-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.8 Units / 20.07% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 38-26 against the Run Line (+8.63 Units / 10.45% ROI).
- 29-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 11.84% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -12.93% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.08 Units / 4.35% ROI
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hurston Waldrep (ATL) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has limited playing time.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Braves are 50-50 (.500) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 34-62 (.354) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are just 72-119 (.377) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Nationals are just 48-195 (.198) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Nationals are just 25-45 (.357) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .914 (1,566 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .355 (1,994 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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