Braves vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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Baltimore Orioles' Anthony Santander in action during a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Sunday, May 28, 2023, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Braves vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Braves / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSSO

The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+110) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Braves are 35-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 39-26 ATS.

Braves vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 6-2, 2.92 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 2-0, 1.83 ERA

Braves vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +135O 7.5 +100-130
Orioles +1.5 -160U 7.5 -120+110

Braves vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+20.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+18.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.15 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 24 games at home (+31.65 Units / 132% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games (+20.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 28 away games (+12.39 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 32 away games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 56 games (+19.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-33 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -4.59% ROI).

  • 35-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -9.55% ROI
  • 23-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.35 Units / -26.67% ROI
  • 38-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.65 Units / 18.1% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 39-26 against the Run Line (+19.55 Units / 25.88% ROI).

  • 43-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 12.77% ROI
  • 33-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 11.4% ROI
  • 23-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -19.04% ROI

Orioles vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Orioles vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Austin Hays (BAL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Orioles vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Fried (ATL) 5.5 -160 5.5 +125

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.7 MPH (159 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .183 (37 Total Bases / 202 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .144 (29-for-202) against Max Fried this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH this season (159 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Albert Suarez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.2 innings he’s appeared — Kyle Bradish has the longest active streak at 55.1.

Albert Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .305 (43 Total Bases / 141 ABs) this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 93rd Percentile.

Albert Suarez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (61/111) of opposing batters this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Albert Suarez has an ERA of 1.83 (39.1 IP)this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 3.85 — 98th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Braves are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Braves are 50-50 (.500) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Braves are 17-70 (.195) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Orioles are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .113.

The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Orioles are 77-12 (.865) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

Braves hitters are slugging .473 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .803 (6,517 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (2,094 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

Braves hitters have an OBP of .380 (1,047 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.

Orioles hitters are slugging .447 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.

Orioles hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 217 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

The Orioles are batting .342 at home this month (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,490 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9

Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,490 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Orioles have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (207.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.

Orioles vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.