- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
- Braves vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Braves / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSSO
The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+110) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Braves are 35-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 39-26 ATS.
Braves vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 6-2, 2.92 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 2-0, 1.83 ERA
Braves vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 +100 | -130 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -120 | +110 |
Braves vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+20.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+18.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.15 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 24 games at home (+31.65 Units / 132% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games (+20.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 28 away games (+12.39 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 32 away games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 56 games (+19.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-33 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -4.59% ROI).
- 35-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -9.55% ROI
- 23-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.35 Units / -26.67% ROI
- 38-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.65 Units / 18.1% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 39-26 against the Run Line (+19.55 Units / 25.88% ROI).
- 43-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 12.77% ROI
- 33-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 11.4% ROI
- 23-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -19.04% ROI
Orioles vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.7 MPH (159 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .183 (37 Total Bases / 202 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .144 (29-for-202) against Max Fried this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 98th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH this season (159 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.2 innings he’s appeared — Kyle Bradish has the longest active streak at 55.1.
Albert Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .305 (43 Total Bases / 141 ABs) this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 93rd Percentile.
Albert Suarez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (61/111) of opposing batters this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Albert Suarez has an ERA of 1.83 (39.1 IP)this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 3.85 — 98th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Braves are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 50-50 (.500) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 17-70 (.195) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Orioles are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Orioles are 77-12 (.865) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .473 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .803 (6,517 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (2,094 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .380 (1,047 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .447 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 217 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Orioles are batting .342 at home this month (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,490 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,490 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (207.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Orioles vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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