- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Padres
- Braves vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Braves / Padres TV Channel: FDSO | FDSE | PDTV
The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+110) on Thursday, March 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA, USA.
This preseason, the Braves were 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 9-10 ATS.
Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +145 | O 7 -120 | -130 |
| Padres | +1.5 -175 | U 7 +100 | +110 |
Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+10.95 Units / 137% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 150 games (+39.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 away games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 92 games (+22.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 137 games (+5.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this preseason, the Braves were 9-14 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -22.74% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -8.74% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -17.29% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 8.15% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this preseason, the Padres were 9-10 against the Run Line (-1.27 Units / -5.56% ROI).
- 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -26.98% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.97 Units / -9.46% ROI
Padres vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Michael King (SD) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Braves are 39-39 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Braves are 65-48 (.575) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the None ( best runs scored) today.
The Braves are 46-31 (.597) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the None ( best runs allowed) today.
The Braves are 53-95 (.358) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Padres were 19-47 (.288) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Padres were 29-15 (.659) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2024 They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Padres were 25-17 (.595) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2024 They play the Dodgers (13th best runs allowed) today.
The Padres are 16-11 (.593) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since the 2023 season (917/12,324) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters missed on just 20% of swings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Padres batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since the 2023 season (7,878 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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