- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Pirates
- Braves vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Pirates TV Channel: BSSE | SNPT
The Atlanta Braves () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Braves are 29-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 29-24 ATS.
Braves vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 7-1, 2.24 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-3, 4.84 ERA
Braves vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Braves vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 73.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 35 games (+18.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 away games (+15.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+13.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 35 games (+21.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 36 games (+4.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 24-25 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 1.19% ROI).
- 29-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -2.41% ROI
- 16-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.65 Units / -33.02% ROI
- 31-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.4 Units / 24.61% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 29-24 against the Run Line (+2.76 Units / 3.88% ROI).
- 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -8.07% ROI
- 25-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 25-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.12 Units / -3.64% ROI
Pirates vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Pirates vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
11 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strike rate of 70% (607/863) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .511 (23-for-45) against Chris Sale on low fastballs since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .272 — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 52% of the time (185/355) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 52% of the time (185/355) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .297 (66-for-222) against Martin Perez this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .250 (26-for-104) against Martin Perez with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — fourth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 34-57 (.374) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 17-62 (.215) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Braves are 49-48 (.505) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Pirates are just 10-15 (.400) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .569.
The Pirates are just 119-29 (.804) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Pirates are just 84-13 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Pirates are just 28-43 (.394) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .563 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .811 (6,206 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Braves hitters are slugging .474 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .461 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 42 strikeouts in 104 PA’s (40%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Pirates are batting just .193 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (1,167 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (1,167 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 9 of 198 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (22 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,351 of 14,514 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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