Braves vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 24

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Charlotte Sports Park to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, February 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Port Charlotte, FL.

Last season, the Braves were 105-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays were 87-77 ATS.

Braves vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Braves-105
Rays -115

Braves vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 away games (+4.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Braves went 82-84 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -3.93% ROI).

  • 105-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.54% ROI
  • 94-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.9 Units / 9.75% ROI
  • 69-94 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.05 Units / -18.72% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Rays went 87-77 against the Run Line (+12.1 Units / 6.17% ROI).

  • 99-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 3.15% ROI
  • 89-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.35 Units / 6.82% ROI
  • 70-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.75 Units / -14.88% ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Braves were 28-46 (.378) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

The Braves were 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Braves are 46-41 (.529) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Braves are 164-34 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays were 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Rays were 71-13 (.845) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.

Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.

The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rays hitters slugged .445 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Braves pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Braves pitchers won 49% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rays vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
  • Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Out
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Penn Murfee (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Eli White (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Jackson Stephens (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.