- The Brewers are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Brewers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | BSWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (-130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+110) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Brewers are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 11-8 ATS.
Brewers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 2-0, 2.55 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 1-2, 6.16 ERA
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -115 | -130 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -105 | +110 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+13.25 Units / 110% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 62% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 10-7 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 9.96% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 28.04% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 35.83% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -42.97% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 11-8 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 13.87% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.69% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -28.43% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 21.62% ROI
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 39% (26 SO in 66 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has struck out 42% (18/43) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Freddy Peralta this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (44/127) against Freddy Peralta this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 58% (165/283) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 53% (27/51) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has struck out just 16% (6/38) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 16th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (87/153) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — ninth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 34-22 (.607) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 23-45 (.338) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
The Brewers are 26-12 (.684) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 18-45 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Cardinals are just 17-26 (.395) after a road win since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Cardinals are just 34-51 (.400) after a road win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging .481 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .378.
Brewers hitters have 145 extra-base hits out of 556 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .365 (379 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .846 (379 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .181 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .284 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .380.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .535 (6,849 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .129 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.80 (782.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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