The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-150) on Saturday, March 23, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the Brewers are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 12-7 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +125 |
| Cubs | -150 |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alexander Canario has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 5-9 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -35.72% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -22.65% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -16.81% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 12-7 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 22.16% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 11.12% ROI
- 6-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -40.09% ROI
- 13-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 30.6% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley threw his cutter 43% of the time (225/519) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CUT; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Wade Miley located his fastball inside 53% of the time (242/460) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 18% (116/657) against Wade Miley in the 2023 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Wade Miley threw his cutter 44% of the time (820/1,873) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CUT; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers were 16-11 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were 17-15 (.531) after a loss as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Brewers won 57% of games in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Brewers hitters had an OPS of just .695 (4,547 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs batted .287 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .264 (3,361 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs hitters averaged 3.99 pitches per plate appearance in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
- Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
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