- The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Brewers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FDWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on Saturday, April 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Brewers are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 7-7 ATS.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 1-0, 2.46 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-1, 6.24 ERA
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -110 | +150 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +118 | U 9 -110 | -185 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+24.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+13.50 Units / 169% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 94 of their last 168 games (+6.60 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 168 games (+1.50 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 168 games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 163 games (+19.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 163 games (+7.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 160 games (+6.73 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 5-9 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -28.22% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 9.62% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -17.38% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 9% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 7-7 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 4.41% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -11.39% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -3.9% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick (MIL) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Corbin Burnes (ARI) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chad Patrick has thrown elevated pitches 58% of the time (73/126) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (5/25) against Chad Patrick this month (2 games) — tied for lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Chad Patrick has walked 4 of 19 left-handed batters (21%) this month (2 games) — tied for highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Chad Patrick has thrown elevated pitches 60% of the time (37/62) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 59% of the time (156/262) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes had second base stolen on him 39 times in the 2024 season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (330/474) since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers are 52-34 (.605) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Diamondbacks (26th best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are 107-84 (.560) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Brewers are 101-68 (.598) at home since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Brewers are just 3-128 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 21-124 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks are just 154-12 (.928) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 11-62 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,878 of their 6,707 plate appearances (28%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 90 strikeouts in 527 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .343 (2,173 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .337 (6,811 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Brewers have allowed 6.57 runs per game (46/7) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.69.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Brewers vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
