Brewers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 5

San Francisco Giants' Thairo Estrada rounds first after hitting a solo home run against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the sixth inning of a baseball game in Los Angeles, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023. (AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)
(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)

The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Scottsdale Stadium to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Scottsdale, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 2-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 3-6 ATS.

Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Brewers+125
Giants -150

Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joey Wiemer has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Marco Luciano has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 2-4 against the Run Line (-3.37 Units / -38.43% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.62 Units / -37.86% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 25.19% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -36.43% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Giants are 3-6 against the Run Line (-3.46 Units / -32.1% ROI).

  • 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.96 Units / -57.71% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 27.61% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.72 Units / -37.13% ROI

Jakob Junis allowed an OPS of 1.744 (46 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 1.069 — first Percentile.

Jakob Junis allowed a slugging percentage of 1.100 (33 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .566 — first Percentile.

Jakob Junis allowed a slugging percentage of .821 (23 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .410 — first Percentile.

Jakob Junis allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (55 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (389/619) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 64% (250/393) against Logan Webb in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb threw his changeup 46% of the time (371/813) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 65% (199/308) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Giants are 130-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Giants are 31-32 (.492) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Giants were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Brewers batted just .219 with two outs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 130 double plays in 1,059 opportunities (12%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
  • Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
  • Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
  • Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.