- The Brewers are +105 favorites vs the Guardians
- Brewers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Brewers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.
This season, the Brewers are 20-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 21-20 ATS.
Brewers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 1-1, 5.03 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 1-2, 4.33 ERA
Brewers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -115 | +105 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -200 | U 9 -105 | -125 |
Brewers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+10.60 Units / 212% ROI)
- Nolan Jones has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.65 Units / 92% ROI)
- Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.50 Units / 91% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.77 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.84 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 21-21 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -6.17% ROI).
- 20-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -6.65% ROI
- 15-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -24.95% ROI
- 24-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 16.45% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 21-20 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -5.1% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 16.44% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 1.45% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -8.57% ROI
Guardians vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Daniel Schneemann (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Guardians vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Guardians vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Quinn Priester (MIL) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -160 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 11% (6/55) against Quinn Priester this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Quinn Priester has a in-zone of 36% (104/291) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Quinn Priester has allowed an OPS of 1.191 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .512 — 0 Percentile.
Quinn Priester has allowed a slugging percentage of .737 (14 Total Bases / 19 ABs) with two-strikes this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .265 — second Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed an OBP of .372 (86 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OBP of .323 (294 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .370 (47-for-127) against Logan Allen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) versus Logan Allen with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Brewers are just 0-16 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Brewers are 37-30 (.552) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Guardians (third best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are 28-17 (.622) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 26-21 (.553) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Rockies (30th best runs allowed) today.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 91-3 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Guardians are 167-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians are 97-2 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Guardians pitchers this month (11 game{NumGameSuffix}) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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