- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | FDWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (-102) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-118) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.
This season, the Brewers are 20-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 22-20 ATS.
Brewers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 1-0, 1.50 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 3-2, 4.46 ERA
Brewers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -102 | -102 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -118 | -118 |
Brewers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+9.60 Units / 160% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.84 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 38% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 21-22 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -9.14% ROI).
- 20-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -8.45% ROI
- 15-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -26.68% ROI
- 25-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.55 Units / 18.19% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 22-20 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -2.29% ROI).
- 25-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 18.03% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.98% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -6.22% ROI
Guardians vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Guardians vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Guardians vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Henderson (MIL) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .400 (28-for-70) against Gavin Williams this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Gavin Williams has allowed a BABIP of .543 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .291 — 0 Percentile.
Gavin Williams has allowed an OBP of .481 (81 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 0 Percentile.
Gavin Williams has walked 15% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Brewers are just 0-16 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .173.
The Brewers are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Brewers were 40-28 (.588) after a loss in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Brewers were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Guardians are 92-3 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Guardians are 103-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians are 83-9 (.892) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .439 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .247 (285 PA’s) against RHP this month (12 game{NumGameSuffix}) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .293 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters had an OBP of just .296 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Guardians pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
More MLB Reading:
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