- The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Brewers are 9-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 7-6 ATS.
Brewers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: DL Hall 0-1, 5.00 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 0-0, 2.13 ERA
Brewers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -120 | -150 |
Brewers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.85 Units / 99% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+8.50 Units / 121% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 153 games (+33.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 23.71% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 46.13% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 28.63% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -35.82% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 13.06% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 7.71% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 17.06% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -26.16% ROI
Orioles vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| James McCann (BAL) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Orioles vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
DL Hall has struck out just 11% (4/37) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .348 (8-for-23) against DL Hall over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 5th highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: .241 — 14th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .344 (11-for-32) against DL Hall this season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 10th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 58% of DL Hall’s pitches in the zone (53/91) this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 67% — sixth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Dean Kremer this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Brewers were 24-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 27-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 25-10 (.714) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Orioles are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Orioles are 42-52 (.447) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Orioles were 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles were 34-19 (.642) after a road win in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have chased 30% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Brewers are batting just .182 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Brewers hitters have 142 extra-base hits out of 538 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .140 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Orioles hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 79 total hits (46%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
28% of Orioles hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .361 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 31 of 444 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1550.0 IP) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (490.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 30 of 484 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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