- The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-170) on Sunday, June 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Brewers are 31-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 30-28 ATS.
Brewers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 4-1, 2.65 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 4-0, 2.97 ERA
Brewers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -105 | +140 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -115 | -170 |
Brewers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+11.10 Units / 139% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+10.30 Units / 114% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 65% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 55 games (+11.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+7.64 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+4.28 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 30-28 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -3.59% ROI).
- 31-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 3.48% ROI
- 23-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.65 Units / -20.89% ROI
- 33-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 12.01% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 30-28 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.36% ROI).
- 36-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 6.04% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -12.44% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 4.16% ROI
Phillies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Phillies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Phillies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (MIL) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,306/2,224) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 57% (451/786) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has thrown just 40% of his pitches in the strike zone (1,466/3,660) against right-handed batters since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 49% (469/961) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 52% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (288/553) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (730/1,389) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 20 AB’s against Ranger Suarez with two-strikes in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .159 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 53% (231/434) against Ranger Suarez in the 2024 season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Brewers are 30-18 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 65-44 (.596) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 17-8 (.680) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Phillies are 8-14 (.364) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 14-137 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are 189-46 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters had an OPS of just .695 (4,547 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted .256 with two outs in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 61% on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Phillies are batting .292 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Phillies are 8-14 (.364) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .238 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
More MLB Reading:
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