- The Brewers are -110 favorites vs the Pirates
- Brewers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | BWIX
The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Brewers are 14-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 13-10 ATS.
Brewers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 1-1, 3.99 ERA
Brewers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -110 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -110 |
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 12-9 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 5.9% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 33.91% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 19.52% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -26.39% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 13-10 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 5.07% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 4.24% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -8.81% ROI
Pirates vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Blake Perkins (MIL) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Pirates vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Blake Perkins (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Pirates vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Blake Perkins (MIL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 54% of the time (271/503) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .189 (33-for-175) against Wade Miley when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 54% of the time (321/598) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 48% of the time (250/521) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total CUT; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (13/47) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.5 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (53 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .582 (138 Total Bases / 237 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .373 — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .594 (92 Total Bases / 155 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .388 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Brewers are 29-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are 24-45 (.348) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Brewers are 20-14 (.588) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Brewers are 72-12 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Pirates are just 143-168 (.460) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Pirates are just 16-27 (.372) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Pirates are 16-8 (.667) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Pirates are just 31-64 (.326) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .346 (737 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .795 (737 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .305 (8,837 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .377 against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Pirates are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Brewers pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (818.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Pirates pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have 40 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
Pirates vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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