- The Pirates are -120 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Brewers are 14-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 13-10 ATS.
Brewers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 2-0, 3.30 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Josh Fleming 1-0, 1.74 ERA
Brewers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 11-11 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 13-10 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Pirates vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jared Triolo (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Pirates vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (122/665) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 3rd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .231 (221 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (14 Total Bases / 27 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (76/407) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 4th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josh Fleming has a strikeout rate of just 12% (12 SO in 99 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
Josh Fleming has struck out just 7% (14/195) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Josh Fleming has a strikeout rate of just 11% (25 SO in 221 PAs) since last season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Josh Fleming has struck out just 7% (12/172) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Brewers are 29-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are 24-45 (.348) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 38-90 (.297) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 27-25 (.519) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Pirates are just 31-64 (.326) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Pirates are just 16-27 (.372) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Pirates are just 12-19 (.387) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are 16-9 (.640) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .345 (744 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Brewers are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Brewers are batting .276 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .500 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Pirates hitters have 381 strikeouts in 1,135 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .509 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.69 (1638.0 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
The Brewers have allowed 3.93 runs per game (373/95) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Pirates pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,258 of 13,411 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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