- The Brewers are -130 favorites vs the Pirates
- Brewers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (-150) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) on Sunday, May 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Brewers are 25-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 21-32 ATS.
Brewers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 3-0, 1.73 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 3-3, 3.50 ERA
Brewers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 +100 | -150 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -120 | +125 |
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+13.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 103% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 49 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+14.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+2.89 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 26-26 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -6.74% ROI).
- 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -7.18% ROI
- 20-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.2 Units / -22.54% ROI
- 30-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +8 Units / 13.76% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 21-32 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -25.55% ROI).
- 19-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -21.82% ROI
- 19-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -25.45% ROI
- 31-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 17.22% ROI
Pirates vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Pirates vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Pirates vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Pirates vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 -118 | 3.5 -110 |
| Logan Henderson (MIL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (31/77) against Logan Henderson this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 60% of Logan Henderson’s pitches (98/162) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Henderson has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.0 innings pitched — Andres Munoz has the longest active streak at 29.2.
Logan Henderson has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (68/162) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (105/214) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 11% (10 SO in 88 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (105/214) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (366/818) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Brewers are just 3-147 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Brewers are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Brewers are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Brewers were 30-12 (.714) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Pirates are just 9-62 (.127) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates are just 11-42 (.208) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Pirates were just 65-7 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .378 against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .206 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 36% of it’s PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .588 (922 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Pirates hitters have put just 25% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Pirates have won just 8% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Brewers vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
