Brewers vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 29

Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)

The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Thursday, February 29, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 4-2 ATS.

Brewers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Brewers+115
Rangers -135

Brewers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joey Wiemer has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -52.25% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -52.63% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 4-2 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 22.99% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 50% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -50% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 41.01% ROI

Joe Ross has limited playing time.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nathan Eovaldi had a strike rate of just 59% (392/666) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .164 (33 GB hits out of 201 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi allowed an OBP of just .242 (120 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .282 (74-for-262) against Nathan Eovaldi in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 93rd Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Brewers batted just .219 with two outs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
  • Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.