- The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Rays Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Brewers / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | FDWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Saturday, May 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Brewers are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 17-21 ATS.
Brewers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 1-0, 3.56 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 3-2, 4.43 ERA
Brewers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -210 | O 9.5 -115 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +160 | U 9.5 -105 | -125 |
Brewers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.45 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+15.90 Units / 318% ROI)
- Taj Bradley has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.25 Units / 91% ROI)
- Taj Bradley has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.85 Units / 84% ROI)
- Kameron Misner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 54% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.77 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 19-20 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -8.64% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -5.01% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -19.31% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 10.69% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 17-21 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -11.55% ROI).
- 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -12.88% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -19.29% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 11.84% ROI
Rays vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Rays vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rays vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers allowed a slugging percentage of .711 (32 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.
Tobias Myers allowed an OBP of just .220 (123 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .150 (16-for-107) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 98th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .465 (141 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 99th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (92/169) this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (92/169) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Taj Bradley has walked 11% of right-handed batters this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of just 13% (8 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 21% — eighth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are 57-39 (.594) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Rays (eighth best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are just 3-141 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Brewers are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Brewers are 108-73 (.597) at home since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rays are 14-144 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rays are 4-18 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Rays are 129-22 (.854) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .316 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Brewers are batting just .184 this month (8 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 36 double plays in 252 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers did not pick-off any runners from first base in 2023 — lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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