- The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Brewers are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 5-6 ATS.
Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-0, 2.53 ERA
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 74% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games at home (+5.48 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 6-4 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 12.16% ROI).
- 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 35.84% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 15.98% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -22.87% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -9.39% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 3.23% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 38.27% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -48.13% ROI
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hoskins | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Contreras | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adames | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yelich | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Dunn | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| India | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Encarnacion-Strand | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Espinal | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Candelario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adames | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Encarnacion-Strand | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Hoskins | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Steer | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Contreras | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Greene | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 53% of the time (292/555) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 51% of the time (250/491) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total CUT; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 48% of the time (664/1,380) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.
Wade Miley threw his cutter 44% of the time (820/1,873) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CUT; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
69% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (72/134) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown his slider 59% of the time (27/46) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 25-10 (.714) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Brewers are 22-42 (.344) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Brewers were 24-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 26-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 40-47 (.460) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 51-38 (.573) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 19-24 (.442) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are just 26-12 (.684) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have chased 30% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Brewers are batting .422 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Brewers hitters have 139 extra-base hits out of 529 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 30 extra-base hits out of 63 total hits (48%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have 18 extra-base hits out of 31 total hits (58%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have put just 23% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have 84 strikeouts in 279 PA’s (30%) against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Brewers pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .386 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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