Brewers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 26

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(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2024, 11:00 AM

The Milwaukee Brewers (+100) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (-120) on Tuesday, March 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 13-8 ATS.

Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Brewers+100
Rockies -120

Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 8-9 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / -16.52% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 0.05% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / 1.16% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / -8.93% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 13-8 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / 15.86% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / 37.63% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -18.56% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 9.18% ROI

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 31 ABs ending on a two-strike slider from Aaron Ashby. — Will Smith has the longest active streak at 58.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Feltner has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to April 20th, 2023 — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.

Ryan Feltner has not allowed a home run in any of the last 30.2 innings he’s appeared — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 51.0.

Ryan Feltner has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.0 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 28.1.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers were 16-11 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 38-25 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Brewers won 57% of games in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Brewers hitters had an OPS of just .695 (4,547 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents batted .288 against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
  • Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.