- The Royals are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Brewers / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Brewers are 21-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 23-14 ATS.
Brewers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Joe Ross 1-3, 4.70 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 2-1, 2.48 ERA
Brewers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Royals | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
Brewers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 24 games (+20.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+14.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+15.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.60 Units / 194% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 19-16 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.1% ROI).
- 21-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 19.29% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 10.2% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -17.68% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 23-14 against the Run Line (+5.49 Units / 10.41% ROI).
- 21-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 16.08% ROI
- 12-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -30.65% ROI
- 22-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.9 Units / 22.53% ROI
Royals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Royals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Royals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ross (MIL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
| Brady Singer (KC) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (44/120) against Joe Ross this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (9/30) against Joe Ross in two-strike counts this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Joe Ross has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (129/263) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 96th Percentile.
Joe Ross has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (63/144) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (41/60) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (33/55) against Brady Singer this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .350 (323 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — eighth Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 10 of 63 batters (16%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Brewers are 27-49 (.355) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Brewers are 30-2 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 27-14 (.659) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Brewers are 41-94 (.304) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 19-45 (.297) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Royals are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .232 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have drawn 29 walks in 230 PA’s (13%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Brewers are batting just .194 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,515 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .229 (319 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.78 (1754.0 IP) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Royals have won just 21% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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