- The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Yankees TV Channel: ESPN | ESPN+
The Milwaukee Brewers (+118) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Thursday, March 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, USA.
This preseason, the Brewers were 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees were 14-9 ATS.
Brewers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Brewers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -120 | +118 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +155 | U 8 +100 | -145 |
Brewers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday’s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+18.60 Units / 207% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+5.20 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.20 Units / 110% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 161 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 92 of their last 165 games (+8.22 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 90 of their last 165 games (+7.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this preseason, the Brewers were 13-6 against the Run Line (+6.77 Units / 28.83% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.33 Units / 10.15% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 10.91% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.82 Units / -18.44% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this preseason, the Yankees were 14-9 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 15.23% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -2.87% ROI
- 15-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 24.8% ROI
- 8-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -33.66% ROI
Yankees vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -285 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Yankees vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Yankees vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Brewers are 37-84 (.306) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Brewers are 47-32 (.595) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Pirates (21st best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers were 46-35 (.568) on the road in 2024 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Brewers were 18-45 (.286) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2024 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2024 They play the Orioles (16th best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 79-23 (.775) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 50-31 (.617) on the road in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,763/18,376 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 495 walks in 4,525 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 333 walks in 2,976 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees batted just .227 in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.17 (933.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
More MLB Reading:
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