Brewers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 29

Brett Gardner Yankees
(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
  • The Yankees are -170 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Brewers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Yankees TV Channel: YES | FDWI

The Milwaukee Brewers (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-170) on Saturday, March 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Brewers are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 0-0 ATS.

Brewers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Brewers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -150O 8.5 +100+140
Yankees -1.5 +125U 8.5 -120-170

Brewers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 161 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 92 of their last 165 games (+8.22 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 90 of their last 165 games (+7.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Yankees vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +170 0.5 -210
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -625
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Yankees vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +170

Yankees vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Yankees vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nestor Cortes (NYY) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Max Fried (NYY) 5.5 +115 5.5 -155

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (161/505) against Nestor Cortes since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .842 (275 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (72/202) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (135/403) against Nestor Cortes since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (50 Total Bases / 225 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Brewers are 37-84 (.306) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Brewers are 47-32 (.595) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Pirates (21st best runs allowed) today.

The Brewers are 26-16 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 82-56 (.594) after a loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 50-31 (.617) on the road in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2024 They play the Orioles (16th best runs allowed) today.

The Yankees are 150-11 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,734 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%) since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 224 walks in 1,821 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters drew 451 walks in 4,437 PA’s (10%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .332 (4,458 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Brewers pitchers have walked 2 of 8 batters (25%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% against Yankees pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (1 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.