Cardinals vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

Atlanta Braves' Austin Riley in action during Game 4 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Oct. 12, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
AP Photo/Chris Szagola
  • The Braves are -170 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Cardinals / Braves TV Channel: FDMW | FDSO | FDSE

The St. Louis Cardinals (+140) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-170) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.

This season, the Cardinals are 10-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-14 ATS.

Cardinals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 0-2, 7.65 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 0-1, 7.21 ERA

Cardinals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -150O 9 +100+140
Braves -1.5 +125U 9 -120-170

Cardinals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+15.60 Units / 173% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+8.75 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.40 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 games (+0.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 13-11 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -5.15% ROI).

  • 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -16.92% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 15.12% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -24.48% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 9-14 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -19.53% ROI).

  • 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -27.69% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 4.51% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -12.13% ROI

Braves vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +290 0.5 -350
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Braves vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Lars Nootbaar (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Braves vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Braves vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miles Mikolas (STL) 3.5 +100 3.5 -135

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 14% (74/529) against Miles Mikolas in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (82/585) against Miles Mikolas since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (118/798) against Miles Mikolas since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (207 Total Bases / 383 ABs) on non-fastballs since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — second Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .458 (11-for-24) against Bryce Elder over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.

Bryce Elder has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (20 Total Bases / 24 ABs) against right-handed batters over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .380 — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .458 (11-for-24) against Bryce Elder in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.

Bryce Elder has allowed an OBP of .500 (26 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Cardinals are 30-21 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Cardinals are just 2-10 (.167) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.

The Cardinals are 79-2 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Cardinals are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Braves are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Braves are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .081.

The Braves are 3-8 (.273) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Braves are 22-119 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Cardinals are batting .374 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.

The Cardinals are batting .292 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.

The Cardinals have won just 44% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Cardinals have answered-back in 50% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.