- The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cardinals are 15-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 20-17 ATS.
Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 1-0, 3.28 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -115 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+17.60 Units / 196% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+19.30 Units / 148% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 37 games (+17.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+16.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 18-19 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -4.86% ROI).
- 15-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -22.2% ROI
- 13-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -27.84% ROI
- 22-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 19.51% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 20-17 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.85% ROI).
- 22-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 18.84% ROI
- 22-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 14.57% ROI
- 15-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -22% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 60% of the time (371/623) this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 97th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has walked 11 of 59 batters (19%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 63% of the time (95/151) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed 49 home runs since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 43% (40/93) against Freddy Peralta this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has struck out 39% (31/80) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 63% (50 SO in 79 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .089 (5-for-56) against Freddy Peralta’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 15-27 (.357) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Cardinals are just 36-50 (.419) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Cardinals are just 48-52 (.480) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 27-50 (.351) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 41-95 (.301) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Brewers are 30-3 (.909) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Brewers are 78-14 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .184 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Cardinals have an average HR distance of 410.5 feet this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 396.2.
The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .232 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Brewers are batting just .192 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters have drawn 29 walks in 237 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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