The St. Louis Cardinals (+140) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-165) on Monday, March 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the Cardinals are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-8 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +140 |
| Cubs | -165 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alexander Canario has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 4-14 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -53.72% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.48 Units / -23.84% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.66% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -8.51% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 13-8 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 20.28% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.92 Units / 2.61% ROI
- 7-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -36.63% ROI
- 14-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / 27.51% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last seven games dating back to July 9th, 2023 — Jacob deGrom has the longest active streak at 8.
Steven Matz threw his changeup 32% of the time (479/1,503) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.
Steven Matz allowed an OPS of .622 (274 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .526 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a first pitch chase rate of just 10% (20/195) against Steven Matz in the 2023 season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 16% — fifth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Wicks has limited playing time.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were 17-15 (.531) after a loss as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Cardinals hitters had a groundball batting average of just .236 with runners on base in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Games involving the Cardinals went UNDER in 58% of their games (13.2% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs batted .287 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .264 (3,361 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs hitters averaged 3.99 pitches per plate appearance in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
- Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
- Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Cardinals vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
