Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:26 AM
  • Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: SNY

The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Clover Park to take on the New York Mets (-145) on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:10pm EST in Port St. Lucie, FL.

This season, the Cardinals are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 2-0 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Cardinals+120
Mets -145

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Starling Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 0-2 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 86.96% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mets are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 147.5% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 81.63% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -48.94% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 48.78% ROI

Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .282 (226-for-802) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — fourth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Reed Garrett has limited playing time.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Cardinals were 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were just 54-12 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Mets are 151-2 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Mets are just 11-109 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.

The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 42% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Mets batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Mets hitters chased just 21% pitches when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Mets have a winning percentage of 60% at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 455.0 feet — — tied for 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

Mets vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, Out
  • Yacksel Rios (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
  • Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
  • Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.