- The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: FDMW | SNY
The St. Louis Cardinals (+118) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-140) on Thursday, April 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Cardinals are 9-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 9-9 ATS.
Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 2-0, 2.21 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 1-1, 4.30 ERA
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 +100 | +118 |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -120 | -140 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+14.50 Units / 242% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.90 Units / 99% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+27.00 Units / 338% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+17.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 75 away games (+0.60 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 176 games (+11.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 81 games at home (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 81 games at home (+6.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 81 games at home (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 81 games at home (+1.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 10-8 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.37% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -3.2% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 11.65% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -20.4% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 9-9 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -2.68% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 7.09% ROI
- 5-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -47.51% ROI
- 13-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 38.72% ROI
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 77% (102/132) against Andre Pallante in 2023 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (173/226) against Andre Pallante in 2023 — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .357 (40-for-112) against Andre Pallante in 2023 — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante allowed an OBP of .444 (133 PA’s) against right-handed batters in 2023 — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed an OPS of .651 (377 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — third Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .537 (153 Total Bases / 285 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (325/650) of the time since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Cardinals are just 52-53 (.495) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Cardinals are 78-2 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Cardinals are 72-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets are 6-6 (.500) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Mets are 16-8 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .234 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Cardinals are batting .280 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .298 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Cardinals are batting just .184 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .436 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Mets hitters slugged .440 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Mets hitters had an OPS of .769 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Mets are batting just .164 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 7.08 (54.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Cardinals have allowed 8.17 runs per game (49/6) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.63.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.38 (159.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Mets pitchers have walked 647 of 6,760 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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