- The Mets are -170 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: FDMW | SNY
The St. Louis Cardinals (+140) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-170) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Cardinals are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 10-9 ATS.
Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 0-2, 9.01 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 1-1, 2.70 ERA
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -110 | +140 |
| Mets | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -110 | -170 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+13.50 Units / 193% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games (+6.35 Units / 159% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 176 games (+11.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 81 games at home (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 81 games at home (+6.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 81 games at home (+3.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+0.95 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 10-9 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -6.08% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 5.25% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -14.63% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 10-9 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 3.76% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 10.21% ROI
- 5-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -50.47% ROI
- 14-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.55 Units / 41.71% ROI
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (82/573) against Miles Mikolas since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .302 (111-for-368) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has an ERA of 5.60 (184.2 IP)since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.67 — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 187 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
David Peterson allowed a BABIP of .377 in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against David Peterson in close and late situations since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .230 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (73/132) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .028.
The Cardinals are 18-11 (.621) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are just 52-53 (.495) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets are 13-59 (.181) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Mets are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .028.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .228 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Cardinals hitters have just 103 strikeouts in 534 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cardinals are batting .380 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .362 (463 PA’s) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .328 (1,752 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .099 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .144 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 6.75 (62.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cardinals have allowed 7.57 runs per game (53/7) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.30 (168.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
The Mets have allowed 2.79 runs per game (53/19) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.66 (105.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
More MLB Reading:
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