- The Mets are -175 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: FOX
The St. Louis Cardinals (+155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-185) on Saturday, April 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Cardinals are 9-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 10-10 ATS.
Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 1-1, 3.93 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 2-1, 1.06 ERA
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 +100 | +155 |
| Mets | -1.5 +118 | U 8.5 -120 | -185 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+25.50 Units / 319% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.45 Units / 83% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.25 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+27.00 Units / 338% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.40 Units / 52% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 177 games (+12.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 82 games at home (+6.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 82 games at home (+6.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 82 games at home (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 11-9 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -2.5% ROI).
- 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -11.88% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 9.52% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -18.91% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 10-10 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.19% ROI).
- 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 12.74% ROI
- 6-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -43.53% ROI
- 14-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.45 Units / 34.49% ROI
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Luis Torrens (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has walked 1% of batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has allowed 5 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — most among NL Relievers — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore’s has 10 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season — best K:BB ratio among among NL Starters; League Avg: 3.1 — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has walked 3% of left-handed batters since last season — tied for 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .032 (1-for-31) against Kodai Senga this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 52% (231/444) against Kodai Senga on non-fastballs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .042 (1-for-24) against Kodai Senga in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals are just 1-7 (.125) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Cardinals are 29-21 (.580) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .070.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .228 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Cardinals are batting .292 at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .761 (240 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .675.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .753 (786 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .150 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mets hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 50 total hits (48%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mets hitters have 66 extra-base hits out of 147 total hits (45%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .122 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cardinals have allowed 7.25 runs per game (58/8) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.65.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.39 (177.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mets have allowed 2.85 runs per game (57/20) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
More MLB Reading:
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