- The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: FDMW | WPIX
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-140) on Sunday, April 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Cardinals are 9-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 11-10 ATS.
Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 3-0, 3.13 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 2-1, 3.66 ERA
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -210 | O 7 -118 | +120 |
| Mets | -1.5 +170 | U 7 -102 | -140 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+24.50 Units / 272% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+7.80 Units / 195% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 177 games (+11.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 83 games at home (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 83 games at home (+7.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 83 games at home (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 11-10 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -6.4% ROI).
- 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -15.67% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 4.32% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -13.67% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 11-10 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 3.67% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 15% ROI
- 6-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -46.17% ROI
- 15-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.45 Units / 37.22% ROI
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes (NYM) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (164/481) against Sonny Gray since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .106 (35-for-329) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OBP of just .166 (398 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .340 (398 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .480 — 98th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts since last season — tied for 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 65% (116/178) against Clay Holmes in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 52-56 (.481) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are just 1-8 (.111) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
The Cardinals are just 10-149 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets are 6-1 (.857) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .379 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Cardinals are batting .216 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cardinals are batting .292 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .158 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mets hitters had an OPS of .769 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .761 (1,789 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Cardinals pitchers this month (17 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.27 (186.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.66 (105.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.50.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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