Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 26, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: ATV+

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on Friday, April 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Cardinals are 11-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 13-11 ATS.

Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 1-3, 6.58 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Jose Butto 0-0, 1.65 ERA

Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -190O 8 -115+110
Mets -1.5 +155U 8 -105-130

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+10.90 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+11.10 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 away games (+6.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 14-11 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 9.91% ROI).

  • 11-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -12.68% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -31.1% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 23.36% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 13-11 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 8.95% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 10.12% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 5.21% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -12.91% ROI

Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jeff McNeil (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of 1.278 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .665 — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (35 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .308 (100-for-325) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (18-for-42) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Butto has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 39% (20/51) of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.

Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 55% (153/276) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 50% (40/80) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Jose Butto has walked 5 of 20 batters (25%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 34-47 (.420) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Cardinals are just 19-46 (.292) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

The Cardinals are just 17-26 (.395) after a road win since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mets are just 3-80 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Mets are just 7-131 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Mets are just 17-29 (.370) after a road loss since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Mets are just 12-69 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .623 (246 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Cardinals are batting just .198 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Cardinals have an average HR distance of 412.5 feet this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.7.

The Cardinals are batting just .239 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Mets hitters have just 1 strikeout in 21 PA’s (5%) against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mets hitters have just 35 strikeouts in 229 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters have drawn 14 walks in 229 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 105 of 1,652 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 57 of 451 batters (13%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have walked 107 of 929 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 26% of batters they faced (239/929 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have walked 698 of 7,013 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.