- The Mets are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: SNY | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Cardinals are 13-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 13-13 ATS.
Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 1-0, 2.81 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-2, 4.21 ERA
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -105 | +100 |
| Mets | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -115 | -120 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+10.90 Units / 91% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 80% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 97% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 away games (+6.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 16-11 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 15.6% ROI).
- 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -5.16% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -29.15% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 21.28% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 13-13 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.47% ROI).
- 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 1.07% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 4.39% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -12.22% ROI
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has a strikeout rate of 43% (12 SO in 28 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (10/77) against Lance Lynn this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has located his fastball away 59% of the time (151/257) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed 48 home runs since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 46% (69/150) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (228/401) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (270/471) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (74/132) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 27-19 (.587) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 23-31 (.426) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Cardinals are just 48-50 (.490) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 12-70 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Mets are just 3-82 (.035) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are just 8-43 (.157) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Mets are just 17-29 (.370) after a road loss since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have an average HR distance of 414.2 feet this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.7.
The Cardinals are batting just .221 this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Cardinals are batting just .214 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cardinals are batting just .202 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mets hitters have just 826 strikeouts in 3,989 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .285 (123 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Mets hitters have just 38 strikeouts in 236 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 106 of 1,670 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 115 of 1,006 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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