- The Cardinals are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cardinals vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Cardinals are 46-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 52-37 ATS.
Cardinals vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 6-3, 3.87 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 1-2, 4.61 ERA
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | O 9 +100 | -115 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -120 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+18.30 Units / 183% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.60 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+11.50 Units / 88% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 81 games (+15.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 81 games (+12.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 44-44 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.7% ROI).
- 46-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -3.63% ROI
- 39-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -9.97% ROI
- 44-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.2% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 52-37 against the Run Line (+11.28 Units / 9.82% ROI).
- 42-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 9.41% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -6.27% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.52 Units / -2.56% ROI
Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 5.5 +140 | 5.5 -185 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has walked 15 of 88 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .200 (8-for-40) against Kyle Gibson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 54% (184/339) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (446/781) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to June 21st — Kutter Crawford has the longest active streak at 8.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 33-15 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 4-21 (.160) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Cardinals are just 21-32 (.396) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Cardinals are just 7-111 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 80-124 (.392) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Nationals are just 51-74 (.408) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .222 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .624 (999 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (999 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .942 (1,723 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Nationals hitters have just 539 strikeouts in 2,818 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .338 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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