The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (-110) on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in West Palm Beach, FL.
This season, the Cardinals are 6-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 11-7 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -110 |
| Nationals | -110 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
- Drew Millas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 156 games (+2.30 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 4-13 against the Run Line (-9.91 Units / -51.32% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.68 Units / -19.21% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.67 Units / -3.59% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.68 Units / -3.63% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Nationals are 11-7 against the Run Line (+2.38 Units / 10.03% ROI).
- 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 53.72% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.26 Units / 11.29% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.11 Units / -20.85% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz threw his changeup 32% of the time (479/1,503) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents batted .213 (54-for-253) against Steven Matz with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .174 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents batted .286 (59-for-206) against Steven Matz’s non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .230 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (71/374) against Steven Matz in the 2023 season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 69-90 (.434) in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 17-74 (.187) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 39-64 (.379) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 21-36 (.368) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 45-79 (.363) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 120-170 (.414) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals have hit 1,736 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Nationals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Lower Leg, Out
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, Out
- Joey Meneses (Washington Nationals): Knee, Out
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Dominic Smith (Washington Nationals): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
- Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
- Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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